Wednesday was a decent day. The Game of the Day feature is on a bit of a losing streak. And a couple of games were surprises. The Nationals / Giants game was fantastic, but the pick got the final tally wrong. The Rangers winning behind Ross Wolf was a complete surprise. But overall, at least it was a positive day after several not so positive days.
A comment from yesterday provides me one more opportunity to tell you what this daily post is not. This is not some competition to Vegas betting lines. In fact, this daily post is not even about betting at all. If some of you use it that way, God help you. I am not picking by odds or by what experts say. All I do is simply look at the games each day, see the pitching match-ups, see who is home, weigh how teams are playing and then make a prediction. There is no science here. If that is not your cup of tea, that is fine. But again, I thought it was a good time to take a moment to tell you what this is and what it is not.
There are only five games being played today making this the lightest MLB day since early in the season. And the five games are fraught with difficult to decipher pitching match-ups.
Thursday's picks:
- The Cubs over the Pirates: I have never been a fan of Edwin Jackson. Perhaps neither have Major League GMs considering how often he has been traded in his young lifetime. But even if I have not been a fan, I know he is not as bad as he has pitched thus far. Jeanmar Gomez has had a couple of good outings and is due for some slippage.
- The Orioles over the Blue Jays: The Blue Jays just took two of three from the Rays. But Brandon Morrow has not looked good this season. The Orioles have not even announced their pitcher for today and I still think they will win.
- The Tigers over the Twins: Rick Porcello gets no love in Detroit and he is pitching at home today. And that is enough to give this pick some pause. But even if this becomes a slugfest, the Tigers should outhit the Twins, especially with Scott Diamond on the mound.
- The Red Sox over the Indians: I love how the Indians are playing and I really wanted to pick them today. But with the Red Sox at home, I simply have to go with them despite the fact that Ryan Dempster has been rocked a couple of times there this season. He will have his share of good games and today will be one of them. Zach McAllister will keep it close.
And the Game of the Day!
- The Angels over the Royals: Book it. Joe Blanton is going to get his first win today. The Angels have finally gotten their offense rolling. The Royals look flat and lifeless, which is a shame. Ervin Santana coughs up some homers against his former team.
Yesterday: 9-6
Week: 31-26
Month: 170-137
Season: 399-291
Games of the Day: 34-17
4 comments:
I read your previews daily because I enjoy your make up of the daily schedule. Even thought I'm on the other-side of the fence, I make a living wager three sports MLB, College Football and College Basketball and as I said I use your previews only for the joy of reading.
I'm sure you enjoy what you do or you wouldn't do it, there will always be haters because everyone has an opinion but it's sad that even though you do this as a hobby and for fun there's still persons out there who have something ugly to comment. Enjoy my friend!!!!
Thank you, Anon. They really are just for fun. I did not do very well today though.
nice "picking"
i follow you since 2009, read your blog every day, i enjoy also all the posts that you made, dont worry.. i know you wanna be a nice picker not a handicapper.. so, study the lines to make nice picks
How successful are handicappers? Give me a percentage to prove your point.
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